2026 Senate races 35 races · alphabetical · Editorial as of Apr 22 · FEC through Mar 31

State / Race Incumbent Cook / Sabato PVI
Alabama R Tommy Tuberville (ret.)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Alaska R Dan Sullivan
Both Lean R
Arkansas R Tom Cotton
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Colorado D John Hickenlooper
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+6
Delaware D Chris Coons
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
Florida (Class 3 Special) R Ashley Moody (appt.)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Likely R
Georgia D Jon Ossoff
Both Lean D
Idaho R Jim Risch
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+18
Illinois D Dick Durbin (ret.)
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+6
Iowa R Joni Ernst (ret.)
Both Likely R
R+6
Kansas R Roger Marshall
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+8
Kentucky R Mitch McConnell (ret.)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Louisiana R Bill Cassidy
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+11
Maine R Susan Collins
Both Toss Up
D+4
Massachusetts D Ed Markey
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+14
Michigan D Gary Peters (ret.)
Both Toss Up
EVEN
Minnesota D Tina Smith (ret.)
Both Likely D
D+3
Mississippi R Cindy Hyde-Smith
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+11
Montana R Steve Daines (ret.)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Likely R
R+10
Nebraska R Pete Ricketts
Both Likely R
New Hampshire D Jeanne Shaheen (ret.)
Both Lean D
D+2
New Jersey D Cory Booker
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+4
New Mexico D Ben Ray Luján
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+4
North Carolina R Thom Tillis (ret.)
Cook Lean D
Sabato Toss Up
R+1
Ohio (Class 3 Special) R Jon Husted (appt.)
Cook Toss Up
Sabato Lean R
Oklahoma R Alan S. Armstrong
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+17
Oregon D Jeff Merkley
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
Rhode Island D Jack Reed
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
South Carolina R Lindsey Graham
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+8
South Dakota R Mike Rounds
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Tennessee R Bill Hagerty
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+14
Texas R John Cornyn
Both Likely R
R+6
Virginia D Mark Warner
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+3
West Virginia R Shelley Moore Capito
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+21
Wyoming R Cynthia Lummis (ret.)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+23

2026 Governor races 36 races · alphabetical · AI-verified consensus, 2026-05-05

State / Race Incumbent Cook / Sabato PVI
Alabama R Kay Ivey (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Alaska R Mike Dunleavy (term-limited)
Both Likely R
R+6
Arizona D Katie Hobbs
Cook Toss-Up
Sabato Lean D
R+2
Arkansas R Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
California D Gavin Newsom (term-limited)
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+12
Colorado D Jared Polis (term-limited)
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+6
Connecticut D Ned Lamont
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
Florida R Ron DeSantis (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+5
Georgia R Brian Kemp (term-limited)
Both Toss-Up
R+1
Hawaii D Josh Green
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+13
Idaho R Brad Little
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+18
Illinois D J.B. Pritzker
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+6
Iowa R Kim Reynolds (ret.)
Cook Toss-Up
Sabato Lean R
R+6
Kansas D Laura Kelly (term-limited)
Both Lean R
R+8
Maine D Janet Mills (term-limited)
Cook Likely D
Sabato Lean D
D+4
Maryland D Wes Moore
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+15
Massachusetts D Maura Healey
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+14
Michigan D Gretchen Whitmer (term-limited)
Both Toss-Up
EVEN
Minnesota D Tim Walz (ret.)
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+3
Nebraska R Jim Pillen
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+10
Nevada R Joe Lombardo
Cook Toss-Up
Sabato Lean R
R+1
New Hampshire R Kelly Ayotte
Both Likely R
D+2
New Mexico D Michelle Lujan Grisham (term-limited)
Both Likely D
D+4
New York D Kathy Hochul
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
Ohio R Mike DeWine (term-limited)
Both Lean R
R+5
Oklahoma R Kevin Stitt (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+17
Oregon D Tina Kotek
Cook Solid D
Sabato Likely D
D+8
Pennsylvania D Josh Shapiro
Cook Solid D
Sabato Likely D
R+1
Rhode Island D Daniel McKee
Cook Solid D
Sabato Safe D
D+8
South Carolina R Henry McMaster (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+8
South Dakota R Larry Rhoden
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+15
Tennessee R Bill Lee (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+14
Texas R Greg Abbott
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+6
Vermont R Phil Scott
Cook Solid R
Sabato Likely R
D+17
Wisconsin D Tony Evers (ret.)
Both Toss-Up
EVEN
Wyoming R Mark Gordon (term-limited)
Cook Solid R
Sabato Safe R
R+23