Texas Governor G-TX-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Solid R
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
R 78¢
D 14¢
Refreshed today
R+6
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Greg Abbott
Republican · running

Race dynamics

FLAG: Despite Solid R/Safe R, recent polling shows Abbott stuck high-40s and Hinojosa within 5-7 points (TX Public Opinion Research Apr 17-20: 48-43). Hinojosa leads independents, moderates, Black, Latino voters. Long-term demographic watch.

Macro context

March 3 primary done. General election architecture firmly established. Cook Solid R. Abbott on glide path.

History

Abbott won 2022 with 54.8%. R+6.

Top contenders

Greg AbbottIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Nominee
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Gina Hinojosa

State Representative
Nominee
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Full candidate field

Republicans (1)

Greg AbbottIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Nominee
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Democrats (1)

Gina Hinojosa

State Representative
Nominee
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • Mar 3, 2026 — primary
  • May 26, 2026 — runoff
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.