Tennessee Governor G-TN-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Solid R
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
R 90¢
D 8¢
Refreshed today
R+14
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Bill Lee
Republican · term_limited

Race dynamics

Blackburn set TN gov fundraising record ($5.5M / 5 months). 52-pt lead over Rose. Vacating Senate seat. General non-competitive.

Macro context

Intense localized warfare in Aug 6 GOP primary. No broader national implications.

History

Lee won 2022 with 64.9%. R+14.

Top contenders

Marsha Blackburn

U.S. Senator
Declared
Raised $5.5M as of Jan 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity

John Rose

U.S. Representative
Declared
Raised $1.5M as of Jan 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity

Jerri Green

Memphis City Councilmember
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Full candidate field

Republicans (2)

Marsha Blackburn

U.S. Senator
Declared
Raised $5.5M as of Jan 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity

John Rose

U.S. Representative
Declared
Raised $1.5M as of Jan 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity

Democrats (1)

Jerri Green

Memphis City Councilmember
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • Aug 6, 2026 — primary
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.