Michigan U.S. Senate S-MI-2026 · Class 2 · Regular cycle

Open in research → Editorial as of Apr 22 · FEC through Mar 31
General 2026-11-03
R Primary 2026-08-04
Filing Deadline 2026-04-21 (held)
Cook Political Report
Toss Up
As of Apr 13, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Toss Up
As of Mar 4, 2026
Polymarket
R 29¢
D 72¢
Refreshed today
EVEN
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Gary Peters
Democrat · Retiring
⚡ Market Divergence

Polymarket implies the Democrat has a 72% chance of winning the seat, while Cook and Sabato both rate this race Toss Up. Worth watching for either a rating movement or a market correction.

▸ Watch

Peters announced retirement January 28, 2025. Cook: Toss Up (Apr 13, 2026). Sabato: Toss Up (Mar 4, 2026). EVEN PVI — a top battleground. Democrats defending a Trump-won state.

Top contenders

Mike Rogers
Republican
● Candidate

Republican candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$7,623,339
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S4MI00595/
12-wk spend
Bernadette Smith
Republican
● Candidate

Republican candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$53,804
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00517/
Haley Stevens
Democrat
● Candidate

Democrat candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$8,870,471
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00426/
12-wk spend

Republicans

Mike Rogers
Republican
● Candidate

Republican candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$7,623,339
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S4MI00595/
12-wk spend
Bernadette Smith
Republican
● Candidate

Republican candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$53,804
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00517/

Democrats

Gary Peters
Democrat
● Filed with FEC

Federally registered candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat. No editorial profile available.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$201,476
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S4MI00355/
Haley Stevens
Democrat
● Candidate

Democrat candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$8,870,471
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00426/
12-wk spend
Mallory McMorrow
Democrat
● Candidate

Democrat candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$8,624,066
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00392/
12-wk spend
Abdul El-Sayed
Democrat
● Candidate

Democrat candidate for the Michigan U.S. Senate seat.

FEC Receipts — Cycle Total
$7,646,728
Through Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC bulk data · api.open.fec.gov/v1/candidate/S6MI00418/
12-wk spend

12 additional FEC filers excluded as long-tail (no editorial listing, not the seat incumbent, and under $1M raised). They remain in the database and can be surfaced via the FEC API directly.