Race dynamics
May 5 primary just held. Ramaswamy's massive self-funding ($1.8B net worth) creates structural advantage. Acton's pandemic health-director profile resonates with Dem base. Both forecasters Lean R reflecting state's Trump-era trajectory.
Macro context
Most ideologically explosive matchup of the cycle. Ramaswamy's $1.8B net worth allows infinite self-funding for anti-bureaucracy platform. Stark national clash.
History
DeWine won 2022 with 62.4%. OH realigned right; Trump won by 11 points in 2024.