Oregon Governor G-OR-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Solid D
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
R 12¢
D 89¢
Refreshed today
D+8
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Tina Kotek
Democrat · running

Race dynamics

Cook Solid D / Sabato Likely D — modest disagreement. GOP fielded heavyweight roster including 2022 nominee Drazan.

Macro context

GOP fielded heavyweight primary roster. Kotek's incumbent advantage rated overwhelmingly secure.

History

Kotek won 2022 with 47% (3-way race). OR D+8.

Top contenders

Tina KotekIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Chris Dudley

2010 GOP nominee
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Christine Drazan

State Senator / 2022 nominee
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Full candidate field

Republicans (4)

Chris Dudley

2010 GOP nominee
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Christine Drazan

State Senator / 2022 nominee
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Danielle Bethell

Marion County Comm.
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: gemini

Ed Diehl

State Rep.
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Democrats (1)

Tina KotekIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • May 19, 2026 — primary
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.