Vermont Governor G-VT-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Solid R
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
R 80¢
D 19¢
Refreshed today
D+17
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Phil Scott
Republican · undeclared

Race dynamics

Most unusual race in country: GOP incumbent winning by 73% in bluest state. Scott's undeclared status is the only real unknown. If he steps aside, race shifts dramatically toward Dems.

Macro context

Scott unparalleled crossover appeal neutralizes D+16 baseline. Race devoid of competitive tension unless Scott retires.

History

Scott won 2024 re-election with 73.4% in D+17 state. Most popular governor in country (Morning Consult).

Top contenders

Phil ScottIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Undeclared (potential candidate)
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Aly Richards

UVM Medical Center board chair
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Amanda Janoo

Economist
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Full candidate field

Republicans (1)

Phil ScottIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Undeclared (potential candidate)
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Democrats (2)

Aly Richards

UVM Medical Center board chair
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Amanda Janoo

Economist
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • Aug 11, 2026 — primary
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Two-year term

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.