Alaska Governor G-AK-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Likely R
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
—
Refreshed today
R+6
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Mike Dunleavy
Republican · term_limited

Race dynamics

Both Likely R. Fractured GOP primary + RCV mechanics inject uncertainty. Begich (D) credible challenger but R+6 PVI is a barrier.

Macro context

Late August primary prolongs field consolidation. RCV forces candidates to court second/third-preference votes.

History

Dunleavy won 2022 with 50.3% under new RCV/top-4 system.

Top contenders

Adam Crum

Former DOR Commissioner
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Click Bishop

Former State Senator
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Dave Bronson

Former Anchorage Mayor
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Full candidate field

Republicans (6)

Adam Crum

Former DOR Commissioner
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Click Bishop

Former State Senator
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Dave Bronson

Former Anchorage Mayor
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Nancy Dahlstrom

Lt. Governor
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Shelley Hughes

State Senator
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Treg Taylor

Former Attorney General
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Democrats (3)

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Former State Rep.
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Matt Claman

State Senator
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Tom Begich

Former State Senator
Declared
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • Aug 18, 2026 — primary
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Top-4 jungle primary; ranked-choice general

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.