Sabato Safe D. Internal Blakeman poll suggests single-digit gap, but Hochul $32M war chest dominates.
Despite 2022 close scare, Sabato confidently upgraded to Safe Dem. Primary concern is internal progressive challenge.
Hochul won 2022 by 6.4 points (close scare). NY D+8.
None listed.
Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.