Pennsylvania Governor G-PA-2026 · regular

Open in research →
Cook Political Report
Solid D
As of Apr 16, 2026
✓
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
As of Mar 19, 2026
✓
Polymarket
R 6¢
D 94¢
Refreshed today
R+1
Cook PVI
Incumbent
Josh Shapiro
Democrat · running

Race dynamics

Shapiro's $36.1M cash on hand and $10.4M Q1 raise create 10-to-1 cash advantage over Garrity. Cook Solid D / Sabato Likely D — disagreement reflects Sabato's caution given PA's underlying R+1 PVI.

Macro context

Shapiro methodically constructing impenetrable financial fortress: $10.4M Q1, $36.1M cash on hand. Garrity trapped in 10-to-1 cash deficit.

History

Shapiro won 2022 by 14.8 points. PA is quintessential battleground but Shapiro overperformed Dem baseline.

Top contenders

Josh ShapiroIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Declared
Raised $10.4M as of Mar 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Stacy Garrity

State Treasurer
Declared
Raised $1.0M as of Mar 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Doug Mastriano

State Senator / 2022 nominee
Exploring
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Full candidate field

Republicans (2)

Stacy Garrity

State Treasurer
Declared
Raised $1.0M as of Mar 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Doug Mastriano

State Senator / 2022 nominee
Exploring
No fundraising data
Sourced: perplexity

Democrats (1)

Josh ShapiroIncumbent

Incumbent Governor
Declared
Raised $10.4M as of Mar 31, 2026
Sourced: perplexity + gemini

Other / Independent (0)

None listed.

Key dates

  • May 19, 2026 — primary
  • Nov 3, 2026 — General election

Race data merged from Perplexity Pro Deep Research and Gemini Deep Research, both dated 2026-05-05, with cross-source verification. Confidence badges reflect that verification: ✓✓ both sources agree, ✓ single-source, ⚠ sources disagree. Ratings published by Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball; visual treatment is ours, no partnership implied. See /map methodology for the full freshness picture.