GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC

$8.23M 2025-2026 cycle

GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC is a strategy & research vendor. In the 2025-2026 cycle GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC was paid $8.23M across 37 client committees.

Strategy & Research ○ Slowing (~2mo since last)

Part I Identity

Stable facts about this entity. These figures do not change as you adjust the timeframe in Part II.

Activity span ALL TIME
Feb 8, 2020 → May 17, 2026
spans 6.3 years
Disbursements ALL TIME
294
Schedule B rows
Client committees ALL TIME
37
distinct payers

Part II Activity in selected window

One timeframe control governs all three panels below. Change it once and the trajectory, top buyers, and party breakdown all update together.

Spend trajectory

Monthly spend to this vendor over the last 12 months.

Jun 2025 May 2026
$1.63M across 12 months
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Top buyers

Two views of the same data — diagram and table share the time-window control and the same top-buyers slice. Click "View all buyers in research" to drill in with the matching date range.

No buyer activity in this window.

VIEW 1 DIAGRAM DECORATIVE

Top buyers last 3 months · top 6

CALIFORNIA LEADS $164K Media · 6 txns DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC $141K — · 4 txns DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $109K — · 2 txns FAIRSHAKE $30K — · 2 txns COWAN, JOHN $28K — · 1 txn NRCC $19K — · 1 txn GP GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC
VIEW 2 TABLE EXPORTABLE
Filer Total spend Disbursements
CALIFORNIA LEADS
1478581
$163,500 6
DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC
C00928390
$140,968 4
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
C00836221
$109,000 2
FAIRSHAKE
C00835959
$30,000 2
COWAN, JOHN
GA · House REP
$28,000 1
NRCC
C00075820
$19,000 1
VIEW 1 DIAGRAM DECORATIVE

Top buyers last 6 months · top 10

CALIFORNIA LEADS $414K Other / Unclassified · 18 txns FAIRSHAKE $197K Strategy & Research · 8 txns DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC $141K — · 4 txns DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $109K — · 2 txns COWAN, JOHN $67K — · 2 txns BRESNAHAN, ROB $44K — · 3 txns LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY … $27K Other / Unclassified · 1 txn MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR. $26K Strategy & Research · 1 txn YAKYM, RUDY C. III $20K — · 2 txns NRCC $19K — · 1 txn GP GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC
VIEW 2 TABLE EXPORTABLE
Filer Total spend Disbursements
CALIFORNIA LEADS
1478581
$414,400 18
FAIRSHAKE
C00835959
$197,000 8
DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC
C00928390
$140,968 4
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
C00836221
$109,000 2
COWAN, JOHN
GA · House REP
$67,000 2
BRESNAHAN, ROB
PA · House REP
$44,000 3
LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY LEGISLATIVE ACTION CALIFORNIA
1481714
$27,000 1
MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR.
NC · House REP
$25,500 1
YAKYM, RUDY C. III
IN · House REP
$20,000 2
NRCC
C00075820
$19,000 1
VIEW 1 DIAGRAM DECORATIVE

Top buyers last 12 months · top 10

CALIFORNIA LEADS $594K Other / Unclassified · 22 txns FAIRSHAKE $227K Strategy & Research · 9 txns DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC $141K — · 4 txns DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $109K — · 2 txns BRESNAHAN, ROB $69K Strategy & Research · 6 txns COWAN, JOHN $67K — · 2 txns NRCC $38K Strategy & Research · 2 txns DEZEVALLOS, SHELLY $36K Strategy & Research · 1 txn LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY … $27K Other / Unclassified · 1 txn MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR. $26K Strategy & Research · 1 txn GP GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC
VIEW 2 TABLE EXPORTABLE
Filer Total spend Disbursements
CALIFORNIA LEADS
1478581
$594,400 22
FAIRSHAKE
C00835959
$227,000 9
DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC
C00928390
$140,968 4
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
C00836221
$109,000 2
BRESNAHAN, ROB
PA · House REP
$69,000 6
COWAN, JOHN
GA · House REP
$67,000 2
NRCC
C00075820
$38,000 2
DEZEVALLOS, SHELLY
TX · House REP
$36,000 1
LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY LEGISLATIVE ACTION CALIFORNIA
1481714
$27,000 1
MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR.
NC · House REP
$25,500 1
VIEW 1 DIAGRAM DECORATIVE

Top buyers last 18 months · top 10

CALIFORNIA LEADS $644K Other / Unclassified · 24 txns FAIRSHAKE $437K Strategy & Research · 10 txns BRESNAHAN, ROB $152K Strategy & Research · 10 txns DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC $141K — · 4 txns DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $139K Strategy & Research · 3 txns COWAN, JOHN $67K — · 2 txns NRCC $38K Strategy & Research · 2 txns DEZEVALLOS, SHELLY $36K Strategy & Research · 1 txn LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY … $27K Other / Unclassified · 1 txn MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR. $26K Strategy & Research · 1 txn GP GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC
VIEW 2 TABLE EXPORTABLE
Filer Total spend Disbursements
CALIFORNIA LEADS
1478581
$644,400 24
FAIRSHAKE
C00835959
$436,750 10
BRESNAHAN, ROB
PA · House REP
$151,928 10
DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC
C00928390
$140,968 4
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
C00836221
$139,000 3
COWAN, JOHN
GA · House REP
$67,000 2
NRCC
C00075820
$38,000 2
DEZEVALLOS, SHELLY
TX · House REP
$36,000 1
LEGISLATIVE ACTION PAC, SPONSORED BY LEGISLATIVE ACTION CALIFORNIA
1481714
$27,000 1
MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR.
NC · House REP
$25,500 1
VIEW 1 DIAGRAM DECORATIVE

Top buyers last 24 months · top 10

FAIRSHAKE $731K Strategy & Research · 12 txns CALIFORNIA LEADS $644K Other / Unclassified · 24 txns DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS $596K Strategy & Research · 9 txns KEYSTONE RENEWAL PAC $562K Strategy & Research · 12 txns SLF PAC $424K Strategy & Research · 7 txns NRCC $268K Strategy & Research · 8 txns BRESNAHAN, ROB $247K Strategy & Research · 17 txns DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC $141K — · 4 txns YAKYM, RUDY C. III $126K Strategy & Research · 5 txns HEARTLAND RESURGENCE $111K Strategy & Research · 2 txns GP GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY LLC
VIEW 2 TABLE EXPORTABLE
Filer Total spend Disbursements
FAIRSHAKE
C00835959
$731,150 12
CALIFORNIA LEADS
1478581
$644,400 24
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS
C00836221
$595,500 9
KEYSTONE RENEWAL PAC
C00849489
$561,663 12
SLF PAC
C00571703
$423,820 7
NRCC
C00075820
$268,000 8
BRESNAHAN, ROB
PA · House REP
$246,928 17
DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC
C00928390
$140,968 4
YAKYM, RUDY C. III
IN · House REP
$126,000 5
HEARTLAND RESURGENCE
C00544551
$110,750 2

By party

Revenue by party

98% R
D · 2%
R · 98%
PartyAmount%
Democratic $130,031 1.58%
Republican $5,411,507 65.77%
Non-partisan $2,685,915 32.65%

Part III Reference tables

Full all-time and cycle-to-date data.

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Cycle-over-cycle trajectory

2020202120222023202420252026 Q1 2020 (2020 cycle): $30KQ2 2020 (2020 cycle): $148KQ3 2020 (2020 cycle): $219KQ4 2020 (2020 cycle): $281KQ1 2021 (2022 cycle): $15KQ2 2021 (2022 cycle): $38KQ3 2021 (2022 cycle): $92KQ4 2021 (2022 cycle): $78KQ1 2022 (2022 cycle): $43KQ2 2022 (2022 cycle): $135KQ3 2022 (2022 cycle): $494KQ4 2022 (2022 cycle): $571KQ1 2023 (2024 cycle): $102KQ2 2023 (2024 cycle): $181KQ4 2023 (2024 cycle): $276KQ1 2024 (2024 cycle): $561KQ2 2024 (2024 cycle): $607KQ3 2024 (2024 cycle): $950KQ4 2024 (2024 cycle): $1.62MQ1 2025 (2024 cycle): $43KQ1 2025 (2026 cycle): $31KQ2 2025 (2026 cycle): $78KQ3 2025 (2024 cycle): $120KQ3 2025 (2026 cycle): $215KQ4 2025 (2024 cycle): $90KQ4 2025 (2026 cycle): $98KQ1 2026 (2026 cycle): $533KQ2 2026 (2026 cycle): $576K Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q4Q2Q4Q1Q3Q4Q1Q2 $1.62M

current cycle earlier election cycle off-cycle year quarterly · 7 years

Per-quarter totals
Year Q Cycle Total Txns Top buyer · share Top category · share Cum. (cycle) YoY %
2020 Q1 2020 $30K 2 C00732107 51% Strategy & Research 100% $30K
2020 Q2 2020 $148K 8 SLF PAC 38% Strategy & Research 100% $178K
2020 Q3 2020 $219K 12 SLF PAC 28% Strategy & Research 100% $397K
2020 Q4 2020 $281K 16 SLF PAC 41% Strategy & Research 100% $678K
2021 Q1 2022 $15K 1 SCHELLER, LISA 100% Strategy & Research 100% $15K
2021 Q2 2022 $38K 4 C00776328 67% Strategy & Research 100% $53K
2021 Q3 2022 $92K 7 C00776328 84% Strategy & Research 100% $145K
2021 Q4 2022 $78K 7 C00776328 81% Strategy & Research 100% $223K
2022 Q1 2022 $43K 5 C00776328 59% Strategy & Research 100% $265K +40%
2022 Q2 2022 $135K 13 SCHELLER, LISA 41% Strategy & Research 100% $400K -8%
2022 Q3 2022 $494K 24 NRCC 38% Strategy & Research 100% $895K +126%
2022 Q4 2022 $571K 23 NRCC 30% Strategy & Research 100% $1.47M +103%
2023 Q1 2024 $102K 3 C00831891 88% Strategy & Research 100% $102K +580%
2023 Q2 2024 $181K 2 SLF PAC 59% Strategy & Research 100% $283K +383%
2023 Q4 2024 $276K 9 C00831891 59% Strategy & Research 100% $560K +253%
2024 Q1 2024 $561K 17 C00831891 28% Strategy & Research 100% $1.12M +1215%
2024 Q2 2024 $607K 20 KEYSTONE RENEWAL PAC 41% Strategy & Research 100% $1.73M +349%
2024 Q3 2024 $950K 22 FAIRSHAKE 31% Strategy & Research 100% $2.68M +92%
2024 Q4 2024 $1.62M 32 KEYSTONE RENEWAL PAC 35% Strategy & Research 100% $4.3M +184%
2025 Q1 2024 $43K 2 ELLIS FOR ASSEMBLY 2025; ST… 53% Strategy & Research 53% $4.34M
2025 Q1 2026 $31K 2 DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS 97% Strategy & Research 100% $31K -70%
2025 Q2 2026 $78K 3 BRESNAHAN, ROB 100% Strategy & Research 100% $109K -57%
2025 Q3 2024 $120K 4 CALIFORNIA LEADS 100% Other / Unclassified 100% $4.46M
2025 Q3 2026 $215K 2 FAIRSHAKE 98% Strategy & Research 100% $323K
2025 Q4 2024 $90K 1 CALIFORNIA LEADS 100% Other / Unclassified 100% $4.55M
2025 Q4 2026 $98K 6 FAIRSHAKE 31% Strategy & Research 100% $421K -65%
2026 Q1 2026 $533K 24 CALIFORNIA LEADS 37% Other / Unclassified 36% $955K -5%
2026 Q2 2026 $576K 21 CALIFORNIA LEADS 38% Strategy & Research 9% $1.53M -5%
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Revenue by service category

No category revenue in this window.

Revenue by service category

last 3 months · hover bars for cycle context
Media — cycle-to-date Total: $56K across 2 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Media $28K Strategy & Research — cycle-to-date Total: $7.08M across 253 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: SLF PAC (16% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · +65% vs prior cycle Strategy & Research $27K Field & Voter Contact — cycle-to-date Total: $27K across 1 disbursements (avg $27K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Field & Voter Contact $27K

Revenue by service category

last 6 months · hover bars for cycle context
Strategy & Research — cycle-to-date Total: $7.08M across 253 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: SLF PAC (16% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · +65% vs prior cycle Strategy & Research $196K Media — cycle-to-date Total: $56K across 2 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Media $56K Field & Voter Contact — cycle-to-date Total: $27K across 1 disbursements (avg $27K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Field & Voter Contact $27K Contributions & Transfers — cycle-to-date Total: $1K across 1 disbursements (avg $1K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 5mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Contributions & Transfers $1K

Revenue by service category

last 12 months · hover bars for cycle context
Strategy & Research — cycle-to-date Total: $7.08M across 253 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: SLF PAC (16% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · +65% vs prior cycle Strategy & Research $330K Media — cycle-to-date Total: $56K across 2 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Media $56K Field & Voter Contact — cycle-to-date Total: $27K across 1 disbursements (avg $27K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Field & Voter Contact $27K Contributions & Transfers — cycle-to-date Total: $1K across 1 disbursements (avg $1K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 5mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Contributions & Transfers $1K

Revenue by service category

last 18 months · hover bars for cycle context
Strategy & Research — cycle-to-date Total: $7.08M across 253 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: SLF PAC (16% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · +65% vs prior cycle Strategy & Research $676K Media — cycle-to-date Total: $56K across 2 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Media $56K Field & Voter Contact — cycle-to-date Total: $27K across 1 disbursements (avg $27K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Field & Voter Contact $27K Contributions & Transfers — cycle-to-date Total: $1K across 1 disbursements (avg $1K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 5mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Contributions & Transfers $1K

Revenue by service category

last 24 months · hover bars for cycle context
Strategy & Research — cycle-to-date Total: $7.08M across 253 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: SLF PAC (16% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · +65% vs prior cycle Strategy & Research $3.06M Media — cycle-to-date Total: $56K across 2 disbursements (avg $28K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Media $56K Field & Voter Contact — cycle-to-date Total: $27K across 1 disbursements (avg $27K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 2mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Field & Voter Contact $27K Contributions & Transfers — cycle-to-date Total: $1K across 1 disbursements (avg $1K/check) Top buyer: CALIFORNIA LEADS (100% of category) Last paid: 5mo ago · no prior-cycle baseline Contributions & Transfers $1K
Per-category breakdown · cycle-to-date
Category Total spend Txns Avg check % of total Top buyer · share Last paid
Strategy & Research $7,083,160 253 $28K 93.0% SLF PAC 16% 2mo ago
Other / Unclassified $449,175 15 $30K 5.9% CALIFORNIA LEADS 94% 3mo ago
Media $56,000 2 $28K 0.7% CALIFORNIA LEADS 100% 2mo ago
Field & Voter Contact $26,500 1 $27K 0.3% CALIFORNIA LEADS 100% 2mo ago
Contributions & Transfers $1,400 1 $1K 0.0% CALIFORNIA LEADS 100% 5mo ago
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Client retention

Sticky-relationship signal: how many clients keep coming back across cycles vs one-time buyers.

3
Anchor clients 3+ cycles
$2,135,888 · 26% of revenue
6
Repeat clients 2 cycles
$4,042,229 · 49% of revenue
28
One-time clients 1 cycle
$2,049,335 · 25% of revenue
Top 3 anchor clients · all-time
Client Cycles All-time spend Txns First paid Last paid
SLF PAC 3 $1,131,577 26 2020-04-02 2024-10-31
NRCC 4 $692,175 23 2020-07-10 2026-05-07
YAKYM, RUDY C. III 3 $312,136 12 2022-10-05 2026-04-03
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Geographic concentration

Where this vendor's clients are based — federal committees by state, plus implicit jurisdiction for CA and TX state filers.

State   Total spend % of revenue Clients
PA
$1,907,529 23.3% 5
DC
$1,858,952 22.7% 3
VA
$1,149,636 14.0% 3
Unknown
$1,117,568 13.6% 12
MN
$838,650 10.2% 1
CA
$693,900 8.5% 3
MT
$153,000 1.9% 1
AZ
$140,968 1.7% 1
MO
$110,750 1.4% 1
TX
$110,000 1.3% 3
GA
$67,000 0.8% 1
IN
$44,000 0.5% 1
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Notable disbursements

5 largest all-time · 5 largest in the current cycle · 5 most recent. Each row earns its place.

Reason Date Filer Category Purpose Amount
Largest all-time 2024-11-08 DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS Strategy & Research RESEARCH $270,500
Largest all-time 2024-07-26 FAIRSHAKE Strategy & Research POLLING $219,900
Largest all-time 2025-07-17 FAIRSHAKE Strategy & Research POLLING $209,750
Largest all-time 2024-10-24 SLF PAC Strategy & Research POLLING $142,320
Largest all-time 2023-12-26 C00831891 Strategy & Research POLLING $115,800
Largest this cycle 2026-05-17 DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS RESEARCH $77,000
Largest this cycle 2026-02-26 FAIRSHAKE Strategy & Research POLLING $56,000
Largest this cycle 2026-04-22 DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC POLLING $40,000
Largest this cycle 2026-05-11 DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC POLLING $40,000
Recent 2026-05-11 DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS RESEARCH $32,000
Recent 2026-05-08 CALIFORNIA LEADS Media POL; Support; Andrae Gonzales; AD35 $28,000
Recent 2026-05-08 CALIFORNIA LEADS Field & Voter Contact POL; Support; Ed Musgrove; SD40 $26,500
5 raw FEC name variants collapsed into this canonical entity
See all 294 disbursements →